Wednesday, April 16, 2003

Nobody wants to be next?

From the Strategy Page
April 10, 2003: The fall of Baghdad has shocked Palestinians. Following on the quick collapse of Taliban rule in Afghanistan, there is less enthusiasm for radicals and terrorism. It's dawning on the Palestinians that they are the only former colonial population that has not established their independence since the end of World War II and maybe they are going about this the wrong way.
Funny how that works. You can almost see the wheels starting to turn.

Tuesday, April 15, 2003

Brave New World

Now that one of the most malicious Arab governments has been de-fanged and extinguished, the US relationship with Israel will change. The US has a vested interest in the well-being of the nascent Iraqi state. Israel had been the US's primary ally throughout the cold-war. With the fall and the future rise of Iraq, Israeli concerns and requests will gradually get less interested ears in Washington. If US policy in the Middle East is successful the Israeli's reduced influence will be a small price to pay. Even right now the elimination of Saddam has stopped a major funds source to the grandfather terrorist Arafat. Some time in the not too distant future Israel may find itself facing pressure from the US to compromises with Palestinians, even as the US continues its "carrot and stick" diplomacy through out the Middle East.